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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 21 April 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 21 April 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Seongnam FC vs Incheon United at 55% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 22%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

K League 1 supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Seongnam FC
1 : 3 FT
Incheon United
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 63% Seongnam FC Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Huanghai
2 : 1 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 9%
Draw 26%
Win 65%
BTTS No 54%
#3 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daegu FC
1 : 0 FT
Suwon Bluewings
Win 27%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
1 : 2 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
Win 17%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 51%
#5 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeju United FC
2 : 1 FT
FC Seoul
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 0 FT
Union Berlin
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
0 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 25%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 48%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#8 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
0 : 0 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 3 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 36%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
3 : 2 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 10 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 21 April 2021?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Seongnam FC vs Incheon United at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.