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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 26 September 2021

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 26 September 2021. Molde vs Viking led the list at 68% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 48%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway 68%
Molde
2 : 2 FT
Viking
Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy 68%
Lazio
3 : 2 FT
AS Roma
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 20%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland 67%
FC Basel 1893
3 : 1 FT
FC Zurich
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 61%
Gent
2 : 1 FT
Cercle Brugge
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy 58%
Perugia
1 : 1 FT
Alessandria
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic 58%
Teplice
0 : 0 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 27%
Draw 21%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%
#7 Super League Β· Switzerland 56%
FC Luzern
2 : 3 FT
FC Lugano
Win 25%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy 56%
Udinese
0 : 1 FT
Fiorentina
Win 31%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 47%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 52%
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4 FT
Cambuur
Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 50%
Heracles
1 : 0 FT
Waalwijk
Win 33%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy 50%
Napoli
2 : 0 FT
Cagliari
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway 50%
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0 FT
Valerenga
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 49%
Union St. Gilloise
1 : 2 FT
Antwerp
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 49%
Heerenveen
2 : 3 FT
Twente
Win 35%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France 49%
Marseille
2 : 3 FT
Lens
Win 33%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 48%
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 48%
Suphanburi
2 : 1 FT
Port FC
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#18 Eliteserien Β· Norway 48%
Sandefjord
0 : 3 FT
Stabaek
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Serie A Β· Italy 48%
Empoli
4 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#20 Serie B Β· Italy 48%
Parma
1 : 1 FT
Pisa
Win 19%
Draw 26%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Sunday 26 September 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Molde vs Viking at 68% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.