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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Saturday 11 January 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 11 January 2025. Al Orubah vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC led the list at 65% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 65% down to 32%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Orubah
0 : 5 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 14%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 65%
#2 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
1 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 18%
Draw 23%
Win 59%
BTTS No 53%
#3 Serie A · Italy
Udinese
0 : 0 FT
Atalanta
Win 18%
Draw 25%
Win 57%
#4 Bundesliga · Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
0 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 24%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 56%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 78%
#5 Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
0 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 18%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#6 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
0 : 1 FT
Samsunspor
Win 25%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 49%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Serie A · Italy
Torino
1 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 20%
Draw 32%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#8 La Liga · Spain
Valladolid
1 : 0 FT
Real Betis
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#9 Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 35%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 41%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 71%
#10 Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
1 : 2 FT
Marseille
Win 32%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
2 : 0 FT
Union Berlin
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
0 : 0 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 71%
#13 League Two · England
Swindon Town
0 : 0 FT
Crewe
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 57%
#14 League One · England
Rotherham
3 : 1 FT
Bolton
✓ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heracles
1 : 1 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
1 : 1 FT
Leganes
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#17 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
3 : 2 FT
Patro Eisden
✓ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
1 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 29%
Draw 38%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 57%
#19 Ligue 1 · France
Reims
2 : 4 FT
Nice
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 55%
#20 La Liga · Spain
Alaves
0 : 1 FT
Girona
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 11 January 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Orubah vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 65% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.