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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 12 January 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 12 January 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Venezia vs Inter at 78% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 34%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie B supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 47%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Venezia
0 : 1 FT
Inter
Win 7%
Draw 15%
βœ“ Win 78%
Over 2.5 67%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France
Le Havre
1 : 2 FT
Lens
Win 12%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 65%
BTTS No 54%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Nacional
2 : 0 FT
FC Porto
Win 16%
Draw 25%
Win 59%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Sudtirol
1 : 1 FT
Catanzaro
Win 22%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone
0 : 3 FT
Cremonese
Win 21%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panserraikos
2 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Salernitana
1 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
Win 25%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
1 : 4 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 30%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
1 : 1 FT
Antwerp
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
3 : 2 FT
Buriram United
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
1 : 2 FT
Galatasaray
Win 32%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Lamia
0 : 3 FT
Atromitos
Win 29%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
1 : 2 FT
Utrecht
Win 39%
Draw 22%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#14 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Rayong FC
1 : 1 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
4 : 2 FT
Werder Bremen
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#16 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
0 : 1 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 35%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 37%
BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Dender
0 : 0 FT
Gent
Win 31%
Draw 33%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
: CANC
Deinze
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#19 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chiangrai United
1 : 0 FT
Port FC
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 53%
#20 Serie B Β· Italy
Reggiana
0 : 0 FT
Bari
Win 30%
βœ“ Draw 36%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 12 January 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Venezia vs Inter at 78% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.