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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Tuesday 14 January 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 14 January 2025. West Ham vs Fulham led the list at 55% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, one landed the away win market — 9%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League · England
West Ham
3 : 2 FT
Fulham
Win 19%
Draw 26%
Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
4 : 2 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
1 : 1 FT
Liverpool
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Serie A · Italy
Como
1 : 2 FT
AC Milan
Win 29%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
5 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Championship · England
Cardiff
1 : 1 FT
Watford
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
3 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Premier League · England
Brentford
2 : 2 FT
Manchester City
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#9 Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 0 FT
FSV Mainz 05
✓ Win 46%
Draw 21%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 76%
#10 Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
1 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#11 Premier League · England
Chelsea
2 : 2 FT
Bournemouth
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 11 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 14 January 2025?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by West Ham vs Fulham at 55% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.