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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 10 January 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Friday 10 January 2025. FC Eindhoven vs FC Volendam sits top on 55% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the away win market — 58%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 3 FT
FC Volendam
Win 19%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 55%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
2 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 58%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
Martigues
0 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 19%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Clermont Foot Clean Sheet 57%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
2 : 3 FT
Al Kholood
Win 27%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 56%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
2 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3 : 2 FT
Al Shabab
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 3 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France
Auxerre
0 : 0 FT
Lille
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 0 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
0 : 2 FT
Damac
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
0 : 1 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 65%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
0 : 3 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 12 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 10 January 2025?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Eindhoven vs FC Volendam at 55% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.