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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Thursday 9 November 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Five matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 9 November 2023. Al Riyadh vs Al-Fateh led the list at 59% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies three of the top 5, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, 0 landed the away win market — 0%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
1 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 20%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
3 : 0 FT
Palmeiras
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
1 : 1 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 28%
Draw 33%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
2 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
3 : 1 FT
Al Taee
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%

Showing top 5 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Thursday 9 November 2023?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Riyadh vs Al-Fateh at 59% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.