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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 8 July 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Saturday 8 July 2023. Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro sits top on 58% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
0 : 1 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 17%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#2 Superettan Β· Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
1 : 3 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 22%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Vancouver FC
2 : 1 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
1 : 2 FT
BK Hacken
Win 24%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon City FC
2 : 2 FT
Incheon United
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Coritiba
3 : 1 FT
America Mineiro
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 55%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
0 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 35%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 36%
BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 1 FT
Changchun Yatai
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile
U. Catolica
0 : 1 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
SJK
1 : 0 FT
Honka
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Kooteepee
0 : 0 FT
Ilves
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#12 Primera División Β· Chile
Huachipato
1 : 2 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 57%
#13 Superettan Β· Sweden
Gefle IF
2 : 0 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Varnamo
1 : 2 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 14 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 8 July 2023?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro at 58% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.