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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Thursday 10 November 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 10 November 2022. 1. FC Magdeburg vs SV Darmstadt 98 led the list at 57% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
0 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 18%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 57%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Juventude
2 : 2 FT
Flamengo
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
3 : 0 FT
Santos
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#4 Superettan Β· Sweden
Sandviken
0 : 2 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 33%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 41%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
0 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 29%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Ionikos
0 : 3 FT
PAOK
Win 25%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 59%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Lviv
2 : 1 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Minai
0 : 1 FT
Chornomorets
Win 32%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
3 : 0 FT
Real Betis
βœ“ Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#10 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
3 : 1 FT
Oleksandria
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
1 : 2 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#12 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
3 : 0 FT
Cuiaba
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%

Showing top 12 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Thursday 10 November 2022?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by 1. FC Magdeburg vs SV Darmstadt 98 at 57% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.