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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 12 November 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 12 November 2022. The strongest reading belongs to FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München at 78% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 46%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the away win market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
0 : 2 FT
Bayern München
Win 9%
Draw 13%
βœ“ Win 78%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia
Torpedo Moskva
0 : 2 FT
Zenit
Win 7%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 72% ✓ Zenit Clean Sheet 67%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
3 : 3 FT
Ajax
Win 16%
Draw 23%
Win 61%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Austria
TSV Hartberg
1 : 2 FT
Rapid Vienna
Win 18%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Wolves
0 : 2 FT
Arsenal
Win 16%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
1 : 2 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 17%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 58%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 59%
#7 League One Β· England
Accrington ST
0 : 1 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 22%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 55%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Championship Β· England
Wigan
2 : 1 FT
Blackpool
Win 19%
Draw 26%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#9 League One Β· England
Forest Green
0 : 2 FT
Wycombe
Win 20%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
0 : 4 FT
Utrecht
Win 27%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 73%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al-Fujairah
0 : 1 FT
Al Bataeh
Win 24%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 53%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#12 League Two Β· England
Gillingham
0 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 19%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#13 Premier League Β· Russia
Lokomotiv
1 : 2 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 26%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#14 Ligue 2 Β· France
Guingamp
0 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 24%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#15 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 1 FT
Khon Kaen United
Win 22%
Draw 31%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#16 League One Β· England
Bristol Rovers
2 : 2 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 30%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#18 League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
0 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 29%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 46%
BTTS Yes 55%
#19 League One Β· England
Morecambe
1 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#20 Serie B Β· Italy
Venezia
1 : 2 FT
Reggina
Win 23%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 12 November 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München at 78% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.