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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Saturday 6 August 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 6 August 2022. Guangzhou R&F vs Wuhan Three Towns sits top on 68% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 38%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the away win market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League · China
Guangzhou R&F
0 : 3 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 13%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Premier League · England
Fulham
2 : 2 FT
Liverpool
Win 22%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Ligue 1 · France
Clermont Foot
0 : 5 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 26%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Veikkausliiga · Finland
VPS
3 : 0 FT
Ilves
Win 25%
Draw 23%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Premier League · Russia
Ural
0 : 2 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 28%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 47%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Premier League · England
Bournemouth
2 : 0 FT
Aston Villa
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen
3 : 0 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Super League · China
Dalian Aerbin
1 : 1 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 Premier League · England
Everton
0 : 1 FT
Chelsea
Win 30%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 44%
BTTS Yes 54%
#10 League Two · England
Grimsby
1 : 1 FT
Northampton
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#11 Premier League · England
Leeds
2 : 1 FT
Wolves
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
2 : 3 FT
Ajax
Win 32%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
0 : 0 FT
St. Truiden
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#14 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
2 : 1 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 55%
#15 League One · England
Forest Green
1 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 29%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 58%
#16 League Two · England
Doncaster
2 : 1 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 55%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
1 : 2 FT
Guingamp
Win 28%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 59%
#18 Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund
1 : 0 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 38%
Draw 23%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 75%
#19 Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne
1 : 1 FT
Nimes
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
#20 Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo
1 : 1 FT
Ceara
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 6 August 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Guangzhou R&F vs Wuhan Three Towns at 68% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.