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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 13 February 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 13 February 2022. Waalwijk vs Feyenoord led the list at 64% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 45%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the away win market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
0 : 2 FT
Feyenoord
Win 16%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 64%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 20%
Draw 18%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#3 Ligue 1 · France
Metz
1 : 2 FT
Marseille
Win 18%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 57%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#4 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 : 1 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 15%
Draw 28%
Win 57%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#5 Premier League · England
Burnley
0 : 1 FT
Liverpool
Win 20%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 54%
#6 La Liga · Spain
Levante
2 : 4 FT
Real Betis
Win 19%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 54%
#7 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
2 : 2 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 16%
Draw 30%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#8 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
0 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 19%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
2 : 1 FT
Kortrijk
Win 23%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
2 : 2 FT
AS Roma
Win 23%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#11 Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 4 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 22%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 53%
Under 2.5 53%
#12 Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern
1 : 0 FT
FC Sion
Win 26%
Draw 22%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%
#13 Ligue 1 · France
Angers
0 : 1 FT
Strasbourg
Win 24%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 52%
BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Belenenses
1 : 0 FT
Vitória SC
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#15 2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Ingolstadt 04
0 : 0 FT
SV Sandhausen
Win 21%
Draw 29%
Win 50%
BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
0 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 23%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#17 Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
1 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#18 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
1 : 0 FT
Bangkok United
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#19 Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
2 : 1 FT
Volos NFC
Win 31%
Draw 22%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#20 Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
3 : 1 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 13 February 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Waalwijk vs Feyenoord at 64% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.