Angers 0-1 Strasbourg – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates Strasbourg at 52% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Angers vs Strasbourg encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Strasbourg make the trip to Stade Raymond-Kopa to face Angers in Ligue 1, Regular Season - 24. The match kicks off on Sunday 13 February 2022 at 14:00 UTC.
Form
Angers (all games): 3W 2D 5L across 10 Ligue 1 fixtures this term — 1.10 PPG. Last five: L D W L L. They are averaging 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.80 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. This season is still relatively young for Angers, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Angers at Stade Raymond-Kopa this season: 4W 1D 5L from 10 home games — 1.30 PPG on home soil. At home they are averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game.
Strasbourg's overall Ligue 1 record this term: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games (2.00 PPG). Last five: W W W L W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.10 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 4 clean sheets in 10 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity. This season is still relatively young for Strasbourg, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Strasbourg's form when playing away from home: 4W 3D 3L across 10 road games this term (1.50 PPG). Away from home they average 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road. Their away PPG of 1.50 is notably below their overall 2.00 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
Strasbourg arrive in superior form — a 0.90 PPG advantage (2.00 vs 1.10) that offsets much of the home-ground benefit. The away side are the form pick, with draw protection the sensible way to manage the home-field uncertainty.
H2H History
The head-to-head record is closely matched — Angers lead 1W to 0W over the last 1 encounters, with 0 draws, though neither side has established a commanding advantage.
The 1 previous meetings have averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 8 Aug 2021, ended 2–0 with Angers winning.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
Trading Data
Angers goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (23 games, 11 at home): they score before half-time in 64% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 75% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 46% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 54% of games (home games).
Strasbourg goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (23 games, 11 at away): they score before half-time in 73% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 100% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 54% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 46% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 39%.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — Angers 65% and Strasbourg 56% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Angers 52% | Strasbourg 52%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Angers 1.07 xG and Strasbourg 1.70 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Angers attack 0.814 / defence 1.291 | Strasbourg attack 1.131 / defence 1.118. League average goals — home 1.178 / away 1.164. Data: 23 Angers games / 23 Strasbourg games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Angers 24% | Draw 25% | Strasbourg 52%. Fair-value odds: Angers 4.17 | Draw 4.00 | Strasbourg 1.92. Strasbourg hold a narrow Poisson edge at 52% — the draw (25%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 52% | BTTS probability 54% | Total xG 2.77. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 52%/48% — the total xG of 2.77 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 54% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Strasbourg as the most likely outcome at 52% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 25% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Strasbourg if the outright odds are short.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.77 combined xG gives a 52% probability to Over 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 54%. Form rates are neutral: Angers 50% | Strasbourg 50%.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Angers vs Strasbourg | Competition: Ligue 1, Regular Season - 24 | Venue: Stade Raymond-Kopa • Kick-off: Sunday 13 Feb 2022, 14:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Angers 24% | Draw 25% | Strasbourg 52% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 52% | BTTS 54% | xG Angers 1.07 / Strasbourg 1.70 • Poisson strength factors: Angers attack 0.814 / def 1.291 | Strasbourg attack 1.131 / def 1.118 | league avg home 1.178 / away 1.164 • Poisson stance: Strasbourg (52%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.07
Angers xG
Expected Goals
1.70
Strasbourg xG
54%
BTTS
77%
Over 1.5
52%
Over 2.5
30%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Angers vs Strasbourg kick off?
Angers vs Strasbourg kicked off at 14:00 on Sunday 13 February 2022 at Stade Raymond-Kopa.
What was the final score in Angers vs Strasbourg?
Angers 0 - 1 Strasbourg.
Where is Angers vs Strasbourg being played?
The match is being played at Stade Raymond-Kopa.
What competition is Angers vs Strasbourg part of?
Angers vs Strasbourg is a Regular Season - 24 fixture in the Ligue 1 (France).
Who is favourite to win Angers vs Strasbourg?
Our statistical model gives Angers a 24% chance of winning, Strasbourg a 52% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw — making Strasbourg the favourite.
Will both teams score in Angers vs Strasbourg?
Our model estimates a 54% probability that both Angers and Strasbourg will score (BTTS).
Will Angers vs Strasbourg have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 52%.
What is the head-to-head record between Angers and Strasbourg?
Record (1 meetings): Angers 1W | Draws 0 | Strasbourg 0W.
What form are Angers and Strasbourg in?
Angers (all comps): 3W-2D-5L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 1.10 / GA 1.80 | L5 L-D-W-L-L. Strasbourg (all comps): 6W-2D-2L in 10 | 2.00 PPG | GF 2.10 / GA 1.10 | L5 W-W-W-L-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
Working from Angers's attack rating (0.81) and Strasbourg's defence rating (1.12), the model arrives at 1.07 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — Strasbourg's attack (1.13x) against Angers's defence (1.29x) — and the away total comes out at 1.70.
These ratings are built from 23/23 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 12.9%. Close behind: 1-2 (9.7%), 0-1 (9.2%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 32% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Strasbourg Win
24%
4.24
25%
4.05
52%
1.93
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.4%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.6%
Away win
1 – 2
9.7%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.07
Angers xG
Total xG
2.77
1.70
Strasbourg xG
4.24
24%
Home win
4.05
25%
Draw
1.93
52%
Away win
Goals Markets
76%
Over 1.5
1.32
24%
Under 1.5
4.17
52%
Over 2.5
1.92
48%
Under 2.5
2.08
30%
Over 3.5
3.33
70%
Under 3.5
1.43
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.85
46%
BTTS No
2.18
Clean Sheet
18%
5.47
34%
2.92
Win to Nil
4%
23.18
18%
5.65
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.3 | 10.6 | 9.0 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 6.7 | 11.4 | 9.7 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 3.6 | 6.1 | 5.2 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Angers vs Strasbourg?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.9%.
How many goals are Angers and Strasbourg expected to score?
The model projects 1.07 expected goals for Angers and 1.70 for Strasbourg, a combined total of 2.77.
How confident is the prediction model for Angers vs Strasbourg?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 52%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
Across their last 23 outings, Angers have picked up 1.26 PPG on a 7W 8D 8L record — L-D-W-L-L across the most recent five. The sample for Angers is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Strasbourg's form line: 11W 5D 7L from 23 games, 1.65 PPG, last five W-W-W-L-W. The sample for Strasbourg is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.26 PPG for Angers against 1.65 for Strasbourg. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
How They Fare by Venue
On home soil, Angers have posted 1.45 PPG from 11 outings (5W 1D 5L).
On the road, Strasbourg have gone 4W 3D 4L from 11 away games — 1.36 PPG when travelling.
Attack vs Defence
Angers are averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game recently; Strasbourg are on 1.96 scored and 1.26 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Angers have seen both teams score in 65% of their recent games.
Last 23 Results — Ligue 1
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Angers
Blended
Strasbourg
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Angers and Strasbourg in coming into this match?
Angers have gone 7W 8D 8L in their last 23 games (1.26 PPG), while Strasbourg have gone 11W 5D 7L in their last 23 (1.65 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Angers at home or Strasbourg away?
Angers's home record (1.45 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Angers at home: 1.45 PPG; Strasbourg away: 1.36 PPG.
Have Angers or Strasbourg been keeping clean sheets recently?
Angers have kept a clean sheet in 26% of their recent games, Strasbourg in 30%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 8 times that we have on record, stretching back to August 2021 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 4 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Ligue 1. The two were last together as recently as 10 May 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Notable Numbers
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Strasbourg won 5-0 on 5 Oct 2025, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Angers have gone 1W 1D 2L from 4 meetings on their own ground against Strasbourg — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 8 Meetings
2
Angers
2
Draws
4
Strasbourg
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Angers and Strasbourg?
From 8 meetings on record, Angers have won 2, Strasbourg have won 4, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Angers and Strasbourg last play each other?
They last met on 10 May 2026, when Angers 1-1 Strasbourg.
Who has won more matches between Angers and Strasbourg?
Strasbourg have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
Angers are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 64% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 27% of the time.
Strasbourg are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 73% of their matches.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Angers 46%, Strasbourg 54% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 54% (Angers) and 46% (Strasbourg).
On the defensive side: Angers keep a clean sheet in 36% of their matches; Strasbourg in 36%; Angers have failed to score in 27% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Angers home games / Strasbourg away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Angers play Strasbourg?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 46% of Angers's recent matches and 54% of Strasbourg's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Angers vs Strasbourg usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 54% of Angers's recent games and 46% of Strasbourg's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Angers and Strasbourg tend to score early?
Angers have had a goal before half-time in 64% of their recent matches, Strasbourg in 73% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Prediction vindicated as Strasbourg edge out Angers 0-1.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Strasbourg beat Angers 0-1 at Stade Raymond-Kopa, Regular Season - 24, in the Ligue 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Angers 1.07 xG and Strasbourg 1.70 xG, a combined 2.77. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. Angers fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Angers attack 0.81 / defence 1.29 against Strasbourg attack 1.13 / defence 1.12, drawn from 23/23 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Angers 24% | Draw 25% | Strasbourg 52%, with Strasbourg to win its most likely call at 52%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 77% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Angers 52%, Strasbourg 52%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Angers's trading profile (23 games, 11 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 65% of their matches — today it did not.
Strasbourg's trading profile (23 games, 11 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 30% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Angers 1.26 PPG, Strasbourg 1.65 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Strasbourg win broke the near-deadlock. Angers (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.27 scoring average — below par going forward. Strasbourg (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.45 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.