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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Monday 13 September 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

16 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 13 September 2021. The strongest reading belongs to FC Rostov vs FC Krasnodar at 56% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 38%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov
1 : 1 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 21%
Draw 23%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Le Havre
1 : 1 FT
Toulouse
Win 18%
Draw 28%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
2 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#4 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
Win 20%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#5 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Tondela
1 : 2 FT
Estoril
Win 20%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Górnik Łęczna
3 : 2 FT
Wisla Plock
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 2 FT
Roda
Win 35%
Draw 21%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#8 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF
0 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 23%
Draw 34%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#9 Primera División · Chile
Union Espanola
2 : 3 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 31%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Orebro SK
0 : 3 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 31%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 54%
#11 Serie A · Italy
Bologna
1 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
✓ Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#12 Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor
1 : 0 FT
Giresunspor
✓ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#13 Superettan · Sweden
Vasalund
1 : 2 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
6 : 3 FT
NAC Breda
✓ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#15 La Liga · Spain
Granada CF
1 : 2 FT
Real Betis
Win 33%
Draw 36%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 57%
#16 Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense
2 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 35%
Draw 35%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 16 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Monday 13 September 2021?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Rostov vs FC Krasnodar at 56% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.