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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Friday 26 May 2023

Tue 23 Wed 24 Thu 25 Fri 26 Sat 27 Sun 28 Mon 29

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 26 May 2023. SJK vs KuPS sits top on 78% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 57%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Veikkausliiga supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the under 2.5 goals market — 59%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Finland 78%

✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 66%

Veikkausliiga · Finland 78%

✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 66%

Ligue 2 · France 71%

✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 62%

Primeira Liga · Portugal 69%

Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%

Ligue 2 · France 68%

✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Ligue 2 · France 68%

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%

Serie B · Italy 67%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Premier Division · Ireland 65%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%

Veikkausliiga · Finland 65%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 55%

#10

Veikkausliiga · Finland 64%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#11

Ligue 2 · France 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#12

Superettan · Sweden 62%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#13

Ligue 2 · France 60%

✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%

#14

Ligue 2 · France 59%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#15

Veikkausliiga · Finland 58%

#16

Premier Division · Ireland 57%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%

#17

Superettan · Sweden 57%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 17 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

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Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Friday 26 May 2023?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by SJK vs KuPS at 78% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.