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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Monday 29 May 2023

Fri 26 Sat 27 Sun 28 Mon 29 Tue 30 Wed 31 Thu 1

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

13 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 29 May 2023. Lviv vs Inhulets sits top on 73% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the under 2.5 goals market — 46%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Ukraine 73%

✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%

Premier League · Ukraine 70%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%

Premier League · Ukraine 69%

Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%

Premier League · Ukraine 69%

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%

K League 1 · South-Korea 66%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Eliteserien · Norway 65%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%

Serie B · Italy 62%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Premier League · Ukraine 61%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%

Eliteserien · Norway 58%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 59%

#10

Super League · China 57%

Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#11

Super League · Switzerland 57%

#12

Eliteserien · Norway 56%

#13

Eliteserien · Norway 56%

Showing top 13 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

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Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Monday 29 May 2023?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lviv vs Inhulets at 73% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.