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UK Football Predictions

English league and cup matches only β€” Saturday 17 February 2024

Kick-off times in UK time (GMT/BST)

Free UK football predictions for 17 February 2024, showing only matches from Premier League, Championship, FA Cup and Carabao Cup that our Poisson prediction model covers. Each fixture carries over 2.5 goals, both teams to score and match result probabilities.

The model covers 42 UK fixtures on Saturday 17 February 2024 in four competitions, led by Premier League, Championship, League One and League Two.

The model's standout reads were Wrexham vs Notts County for over 2.5 goals at 80%, Newcastle vs Bournemouth for both teams to score at 73%, and Arsenal as the strongest favourite at 72% (Burnley vs Arsenal). Each figure comes straight from the model's scoreline distribution.

Of the three standout picks that have since finished, two landed. That is a very small sample; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League logo

Premier League predictions

7 matches Β· England Premier League hub →
Brentford
1 : 4 FT
Liverpool
Win 24%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Burnley
0 : 5 FT
Arsenal
Win 11%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 72%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 55%
Fulham
1 : 2 FT
Aston Villa
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Newcastle
2 : 2 FT
Bournemouth
Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Nottingham Forest
2 : 0 FT
West Ham
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
Tottenham
1 : 2 FT
Wolves
Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Manchester City
1 : 1 FT
Chelsea
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Championship logo

Championship predictions

11 matches Β· England Championship hub →
Plymouth
0 : 2 FT
Leeds
Win 30%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 48%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
Birmingham
2 : 1 FT
Sunderland
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
Bristol City
0 : 1 FT
QPR
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Huddersfield
1 : 2 FT
Hull City
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Leicester
1 : 2 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Millwall
0 : 2 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Norwich
4 : 1 FT
Cardiff
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
Preston
2 : 2 FT
Blackburn
Win 51%
Draw 21%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Rotherham
0 : 1 FT
Watford
Win 28%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 46%
Stoke City
0 : 1 FT
Coventry
Win 18%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Swansea
1 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 24%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
League One logo

League One predictions

12 matches Β· England League One hub →
Bolton
3 : 3 FT
Charlton
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Carlisle
0 : 4 FT
Cambridge United
Win 31%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 58%
Cheltenham
3 : 2 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Derby
1 : 0 FT
Stevenage
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2 FT
Barnsley
Win 21%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 55%
Leyton Orient
1 : 2 FT
Burton Albion
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 54%
Lincoln
1 : 0 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Northampton
3 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Peterborough
1 : 2 FT
Blackpool
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Portsmouth
4 : 1 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Shrewsbury
0 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
Wycombe
0 : 0 FT
Oxford United
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
League Two logo

League Two predictions

12 matches Β· England League Two hub →
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 1 FT
Morecambe
Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Bradford
1 : 0 FT
Sutton Utd
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Colchester
1 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Crawley Town
2 : 0 FT
Forest Green
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Crewe
0 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%
Grimsby
1 : 5 FT
Doncaster
Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Newport County
1 : 0 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Salford City
5 : 3 FT
Barrow
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Swindon Town
1 : 2 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Tranmere
4 : 0 FT
Stockport County
Win 27%
Draw 23%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
Walsall
2 : 1 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 20%
Draw 26%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 53%
Wrexham
1 : 0 FT
Notts County
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 17%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 73%

Showing all 42 UK fixtures, grouped by competition. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

UK Football β€” common questions

Which UK leagues do you cover?

Fixture360 covers a curated set of leagues rather than every division. Competitions we cover in the UK include Premier League, Championship, FA Cup and Carabao Cup; other UK competitions appear automatically whenever the data feed supplies fixtures for them. On Saturday 17 February 2024 the page lists Premier League, Championship, League One and League Two.

How many UK matches were predicted on Saturday 17 February 2024?

42 UK fixtures across four competitions. The highest over 2.5 probability is Wrexham vs Notts County at 80%.

How are UK football predictions calculated?

A Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from its attack and defence strengths in recent results, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. Over 2.5, both teams to score and match result probabilities are summed from those scorelines. No bookmaker odds are used as an input.

Are kick-off times shown in UK time?

Yes. Kick-off times on this page's fixture cards are shown in UK time (GMT/BST, the Europe/London time zone) and adjust automatically for summer time. They are not converted to your own location, so check the time against the official club or league listing before relying on it. The date selector uses UTC days.

Where can I find UK over 2.5 and BTTS predictions?

The Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes market pages rank fixtures across every league we cover, including Premier League and Championship. The "UK Football picks of the day" card on this page links to the top UK fixture for each market.

Are these betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.