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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 29 April 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 29 April 2023. Ipswich vs Exeter City (Ipswich over 1.5 goals) led the list at 79% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Ipswich over 1.5 goals 79%
Ipswich
6 : 0 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 11%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid over 1.5 goals 78%
Real Madrid
4 : 2 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France Lille over 1.5 goals 77%
Lille
3 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals 72%
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 2 FT
Brann
Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Halmstad over 1.5 goals 70%
Halmstad
0 : 2 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 62%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fatih Karagümrük over 1.5 goals 68%
Fatih Karagümrük
0 : 1 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 57%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 69%
#7 Premier League Β· England Brentford over 1.5 goals 67%
Brentford
2 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#8 League One Β· England Charlton over 1.5 goals 66%
Charlton
3 : 2 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France Quevilly over 1.5 goals 65%
Quevilly
2 : 2 FT
Annecy
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany Eintracht Frankfurt over 1.5 goals 64%
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany Werder Bremen over 1.5 goals 63%
FC Schalke 04
2 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
#12 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Suwon City FC over 1.5 goals 60%
Suwon City FC
0 : 3 FT
FC Seoul
Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Cercle Brugge over 1.5 goals 59%
Cercle Brugge
0 : 0 FT
Standard Liege
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Chonburi FC over 1.5 goals 59%
Chonburi FC
2 : 1 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#15 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Maritimo over 1.5 goals 58%
Maritimo
1 : 2 FT
Vitória SC
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#16 League One Β· England Plymouth over 1.5 goals 57%
Plymouth
1 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 55%
#17 Ligue 2 Β· France Bastia over 1.5 goals 57%
Bastia
1 : 1 FT
Amiens
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#18 Serie A Β· Brazil Palmeiras over 1.5 goals 57%
Palmeiras
2 : 1 FT
Corinthians
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#19 Premier League Β· Russia Spartak Moscow over 1.5 goals 56%
Spartak Moscow
1 : 1 FT
FC Rostov
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#20 Championship Β· England Sheffield Utd over 1.5 goals 55%
Sheffield Utd
4 : 1 FT
Preston
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 29 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ipswich vs Exeter City (Ipswich over 1.5 goals) at 79% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.