Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β Sunday 30 April 2023
Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 30 April 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Bayern München vs Hertha BSC (Bayern München over 1.5 goals) at 87% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 57%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only β not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München over 1.5 goals
87%
Premier League Β· England
Liverpool over 1.5 goals
80%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905 over 1.5 goals
72%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes over 1.5 goals
71%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto over 1.5 goals
68%
Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys over 1.5 goals
68%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Plzen over 1.5 goals
67%
Premier League Β· Russia
FC Orenburg over 1.5 goals
66%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde over 1.5 goals
65%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC over 1.5 goals
65%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals
65%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP over 1.5 goals
65%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha over 1.5 goals
64%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Muangthong United over 1.5 goals
63%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir over 1.5 goals
63%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco over 1.5 goals
62%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha over 1.5 goals
60%
Premier League Β· Russia
Lokomotiv over 1.5 goals
58%
Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal over 1.5 goals
57%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF over 1.5 goals
57%
Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Team Over 1.5 Goals β common questions
What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?
Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 30 April 2023?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs Hertha BSC (Bayern München over 1.5 goals) at 87% team over 1.5 probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.