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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 30 April 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 30 April 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Bayern München vs Hertha BSC (Bayern München over 1.5 goals) at 87% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 57%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München over 1.5 goals 87%
Bayern München
2 : 0 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 12%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 84% BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Premier League Β· England Liverpool over 1.5 goals 80%
Liverpool
4 : 3 FT
Tottenham
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 14%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Bohemians 1905 over 1.5 goals 72%
Bohemians 1905
4 : 1 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes over 1.5 goals 71%
Rennes
4 : 2 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 60% Rennes Clean Sheet 56%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto over 1.5 goals 68%
FC Porto
1 : 0 FT
Boavista
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys over 1.5 goals 68%
BSC Young Boys
5 : 1 FT
FC Luzern
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen over 1.5 goals 67%
Plzen
1 : 1 FT
Teplice
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Premier League Β· Russia FC Orenburg over 1.5 goals 66%
FC Orenburg
1 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde over 1.5 goals 65%
Molde
2 : 3 FT
Stabaek
Win 72%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#10 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Ulsan Hyundai FC over 1.5 goals 65%
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2 : 1 FT
Gwangju FC
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals 65%
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 3 FT
Lorient
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP over 1.5 goals 65%
Sporting CP
2 : 1 FT
Famalicao
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha over 1.5 goals 64%
Slavia Praha
1 : 1 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#14 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Muangthong United over 1.5 goals 63%
Muangthong United
1 : 2 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir over 1.5 goals 63%
Başakşehir
3 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco over 1.5 goals 62%
Monaco
0 : 4 FT
Montpellier
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 66%
#17 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha over 1.5 goals 60%
Slovan Liberec
1 : 3 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 21%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Premier League Β· Russia Lokomotiv over 1.5 goals 58%
Lokomotiv
5 : 1 FT
Khimki
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Primera División Β· Chile Cobresal over 1.5 goals 57%
A. Italiano
1 : 0 FT
Cobresal
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 72%
#20 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF over 1.5 goals 57%
Malmo FF
4 : 2 FT
Hammarby FF
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
BTTS No 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 30 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs Hertha BSC (Bayern München over 1.5 goals) at 87% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.