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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 28 April 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

14 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 28 April 2023. PEC Zwolle vs Dordrecht (PEC Zwolle over 1.5 goals) led the list at 83% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands PEC Zwolle over 1.5 goals 83%
PEC Zwolle
4 : 0 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 10%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 77%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Heracles over 1.5 goals 76%
Heracles
3 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 16%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals 69%
VfL Bochum
1 : 1 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 25%
Draw 23%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Raków Częstochowa over 1.5 goals 69%
Raków Częstochowa
4 : 0 FT
Lechia Gdansk
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 17%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Raków Częstochowa Clean Sheet 56%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Paderborn 07 over 1.5 goals 67%
SC Paderborn 07
5 : 1 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Eindhoven over 1.5 goals 65%
FC Eindhoven
2 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Legia Warszawa over 1.5 goals 65%
Legia Warszawa
2 : 0 FT
Wisla Plock
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands MVV over 1.5 goals 63%
MVV
1 : 3 FT
Jong AZ
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Alanyaspor over 1.5 goals 62%
Alanyaspor
1 : 0 FT
Ümraniyespor
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 21%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%
#10 Premier League Β· Russia Dynamo over 1.5 goals 61%
Dynamo
0 : 2 FT
Fakel
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Almere City FC over 1.5 goals 61%
FC OSS
0 : 5 FT
Almere City FC
Win 20%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands VVV Venlo over 1.5 goals 56%
VVV Venlo
0 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
#13 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers over 1.5 goals 56%
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#14 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Fateh over 1.5 goals 55%
Al-Fateh
1 : 1 FT
Al Wehda Club
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 14 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 28 April 2023?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by PEC Zwolle vs Dordrecht (PEC Zwolle over 1.5 goals) at 83% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.