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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 24 February 2026

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Tuesday 24 February 2026. Al-Hazm vs Al-Ittihad FC sits top on 90% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 71%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the over 1.5 goals market — 92%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
1 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 13%
Draw 16%
Win 71%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
1 : 1 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 20%
Draw 20%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Championship Β· England
Wrexham
2 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
0 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 29%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 46%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
2 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Championship Β· England
Hull City
4 : 2 FT
Derby
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Championship Β· England
Watford
0 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
KAA Gent II
1 : 3 FT
Olympic Charleroi
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
1 : 1 FT
Leicester
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
#10 League Two Β· England
Salford City
1 : 2 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
#11 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
2 : 3 FT
Al Kholood
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Championship Β· England
West Brom
1 : 1 FT
Charlton
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#13 Championship Β· England
Swansea
1 : 1 FT
Preston
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 13 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 24 February 2026?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hazm vs Al-Ittihad FC at 90% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.