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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 21 January 2025

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Tuesday 21 January 2025. Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Wehda Club sits top on 93% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 71%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the over 1.5 goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4 : 1 FT
Al Wehda Club
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 11%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
0 : 2 FT
Ajman
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%
#3 League Two Β· England
Fleetwood Town
2 : 1 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
4 : 1 FT
Al Nasr
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#6 League One Β· England
Bolton
1 : 2 FT
Charlton
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#7 League One Β· England
Peterborough
1 : 1 FT
Exeter City
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Championship Β· England
Oxford United
3 : 2 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
1 : 3 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Championship Β· England
Swansea
1 : 2 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 33%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
2 : 0 FT
West Brom
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 11 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 21 January 2025?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al Wehda Club at 93% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.