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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 22 January 2025

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Wednesday 22 January 2025. Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Baniyas SC sits top on 92% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 74%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies five of the top 7, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the over 1.5 goals market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
0 : 1 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC
0 : 1 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
2 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
2 : 1 FT
Damac
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
2 : 2 FT
Bristol City
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Championship Β· England
Leeds
2 : 0 FT
Norwich
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Leeds Clean Sheet 57%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Orubah
0 : 2 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 10%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 72%
✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Al-Qadisiyah FC Clean Sheet 55%

Showing top 7 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 22 January 2025?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Baniyas SC at 92% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.