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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Tuesday 24 February 2026

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 24 February 2026. Al-Hazm vs Al-Ittihad FC led the list at 3.93 in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 3.93 down to 2.69, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the goal fest market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
1 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 13%
Draw 16%
Win 71%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
1 : 1 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 20%
Draw 20%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Championship Β· England
Wrexham
2 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
2 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
0 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 29%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 46%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Championship Β· England
Hull City
4 : 2 FT
Derby
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Championship Β· England
Watford
0 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
KAA Gent II
1 : 3 FT
Olympic Charleroi
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
1 : 1 FT
Leicester
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
#10 League Two Β· England
Salford City
1 : 2 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
#11 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
2 : 3 FT
Al Kholood
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 11 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Tuesday 24 February 2026?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hazm vs Al-Ittihad FC at 3.93 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.