Draw No Bet Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability — Sunday 24 September 2023
Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 24 September 2023. Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kifisia (Olympiakos Piraeus (draw no bet)) sits top on 96% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 72%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the draw no bet market — 78%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus (draw no bet)
96%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen (draw no bet)
84%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta (draw no bet)
82%
Eliteserien · Norway
Viking (draw no bet)
82%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa (draw no bet)
82%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente (draw no bet)
79%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys (draw no bet)
78%
Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown (draw no bet)
78%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren (draw no bet)
77%
Superettan · Sweden
Utsikten (draw no bet)
77%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis (draw no bet)
77%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen (draw no bet)
76%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar (draw no bet)
76%
Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar (draw no bet)
75%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad (draw no bet)
74%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica (draw no bet)
74%
Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom (draw no bet)
73%
Serie B · Italy
Parma (draw no bet)
72%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş (draw no bet)
72%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel (draw no bet)
72%
Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Spanish Football Predictions
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Portuguese Football PredictionsDraw No Bet — common questions
What does the Draw No Bet market mean?
Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Sunday 24 September 2023?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kifisia (Olympiakos Piraeus (draw no bet)) at 96% draw no bet probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.