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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 10 April 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

18 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 10 April 2026. The strongest reading belongs to SK Poltava vs Polessya (Polessya or draw) at 93% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine Polessya or draw 93%
SK Poltava
0 : 4 FT
Polessya
Win 7%
Draw 12%
βœ“ Win 81%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma or draw 92%
AS Roma
3 : 0 FT
Pisa
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 92%
Twente
2 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 24%
Win 8%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 63% Twente Clean Sheet 58%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille or draw 88%
Marseille
3 : 1 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 86%
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 53%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland Dundalk or draw 84%
Dundalk
2 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 48%
Draw 36%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65% Dundalk Clean Sheet 54%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 84%
Beşiktaş
4 : 2 FT
Antalyaspor
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 35%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65% Beşiktaş Clean Sheet 54%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 83%
Real Madrid
1 : 1 FT
Girona
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland Bohemians or draw 82%
Bohemians
1 : 2 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 47%
Draw 35%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Famalicao or draw 81%
Famalicao
1 : 1 FT
Moreirense
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco or draw 81%
Paris FC
4 : 1 FT
Monaco
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#12 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Karlsruher SC or draw 79%
Karlsruher SC
4 : 1 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands MVV or draw 79%
MVV
0 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Lahti or draw 77%
Turku PS
2 : 1 FT
Lahti
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France Annecy or draw 76%
Annecy
0 : 0 FT
Montpellier
Win 40%
Draw 36%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Lechia Gdansk or draw 75%
Wisla Plock
1 : 0 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#17 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw 75%
Al Ain
3 : 2 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#18 Ligue 2 Β· France Reims or draw 75%
Laval
2 : 2 FT
Reims
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 59%

Showing top 18 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 10 April 2026?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by SK Poltava vs Polessya (Polessya or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.