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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 26 October 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 26 October 2025. Bangkok United vs Lamphun Warrior (Bangkok United or draw) led the list at 91% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 80%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Bangkok United or draw 91%
Bangkok United
4 : 3 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Super League Β· China Shanghai Shenhua or draw 90%
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 2 FT
Dalian Zhixing
Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France Lille or draw 89%
Lille
6 : 1 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#4 Super League Β· China Beijing Guoan or draw 87%
Beijing Guoan
2 : 4 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 87%
Tondela
0 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 13%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 60%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 87%
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 1 FT
Molde
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Super League 1 Β· Greece Levadiakos or draw 86%
Levadiakos
1 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#8 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Cavalry FC or draw 86%
Cavalry FC
4 : 1 FT
York United
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil Gremio or draw 85%
Gremio
3 : 1 FT
Juventude
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 62%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 85%
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 0 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine Kolos Kovalivka or draw 84%
SK Poltava
2 : 2 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 16%
Draw 25%
Win 60%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Sirius or draw 83%
Sirius
4 : 0 FT
IF Elfsborg
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#13 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Mjallby AIF or draw 82%
Mjallby AIF
2 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#14 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 82%
Shakhtar Donetsk
4 : 0 FT
Kudrivka
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Famalicao or draw 81%
Famalicao
2 : 0 FT
Vitória SC
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#16 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos or draw 81%
Panathinaikos
2 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#17 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Forge or draw 81%
Forge
1 : 2 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
#18 Premier League Β· Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 81%
FC Krasnodar
1 : 0 FT
Rubin
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy Bari or draw 80%
Bari
1 : 0 FT
Mantova
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 36%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#20 Premier League Β· England Bournemouth or draw 80%
Bournemouth
2 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 26 October 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bangkok United vs Lamphun Warrior (Bangkok United or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.