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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 28 October 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Tuesday 28 October 2025. Frosinone vs Virtus Entella (Frosinone or draw) led the list at 89% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie B supplies four of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy Frosinone or draw 89%
Frosinone
4 : 0 FT
Virtus Entella
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 28%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy Palermo or draw 81%
Palermo
0 : 3 FT
Monza
Win 42%
Draw 39%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France Estac Troyes or draw 80%
Estac Troyes
3 : 1 FT
Amiens
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Thun or draw 80%
FC Thun
3 : 0 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy Empoli or draw 78%
Empoli
1 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 77%
Sparta Praha
2 : 1 FT
Bohemians 1905
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 League One Β· England Mansfield Town or draw 76%
Mansfield Town
2 : 0 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli or draw 76%
Lecce
0 : 1 FT
Napoli
Win 24%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy Pescara or draw 75%
Pescara
1 : 1 FT
Avellino
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 28 October 2025?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Frosinone vs Virtus Entella (Frosinone or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.