Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 21 September 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 21 September 2025. Tianjin Teda vs Sichuan Jiuniu (Tianjin Teda or draw) sits top on 93% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 78%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Serie A supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Super League · China
Tianjin Teda or draw
93%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco or draw
91%
Serie A · Brazil
Mirassol or draw
90%
Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras or draw
87%
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo or draw
87%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius or draw
86%
La Liga · Spain
Elche or draw
84%
Serie A · Italy
Inter or draw
84%
Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre or draw
84%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona or draw
83%
Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt or draw
83%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin or draw
83%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren or draw
81%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96 or draw
81%
Serie B · Italy
Carrarese or draw
81%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo or draw
80%
Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar or draw
80%
Eliteserien · Norway
Kristiansund BK or draw
79%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe or draw
78%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
York United or draw
78%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 21 September 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Tianjin Teda vs Sichuan Jiuniu (Tianjin Teda or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.