Sign in Register
🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 18 May 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 18 May 2025. SV Darmstadt 98 vs SSV Jahn Regensburg (SV Darmstadt 98 or draw) sits top on 91% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 82%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Darmstadt 98 or draw 91%
SV Darmstadt 98
3 : 1 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia Dynamo or draw 90%
Dynamo
2 : 1 FT
Akron
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine Oleksandria or draw 89%
Oleksandria
3 : 1 FT
Veres Rivne
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 61% Oleksandria Clean Sheet 55%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 89%
Inhulets
1 : 4 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 11%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 64%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 71% Shakhtar Donetsk Clean Sheet 63%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 88%
Chornomorets
1 : 1 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 12%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 60%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil Corinthians or draw 88%
Corinthians
1 : 0 FT
Santos
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo or draw 88%
Flamengo
0 : 0 FT
Botafogo
Win 60%
Draw 28%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ Flamengo Clean Sheet 60%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile Universidad de Chile or draw 87%
Universidad de Chile
5 : 1 FT
Huachipato
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 62% Universidad de Chile Clean Sheet 54%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PEC Zwolle or draw 86%
PEC Zwolle
2 : 0 FT
Groningen
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 85%
Fenerbahçe
2 : 1 FT
Eyüpspor
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 84%
Galatasaray
3 : 0 FT
Kayserispor
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 53%
#12 Premier League Β· Russia Akhmat or draw 84%
Akhmat
1 : 1 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
Win 54%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#13 Premier League Β· England Everton or draw 84%
Everton
2 : 0 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 54%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Samsunspor or draw 83%
Samsunspor
1 : 0 FT
Sivasspor
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain Alaves or draw 83%
Valladolid
0 : 1 FT
Alaves
Win 17%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#16 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada HFX Wanderers FC or draw 83%
Vancouver FC
0 : 2 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
Win 17%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 55%
#17 Superettan Β· Sweden Oddevold or draw 82%
IK brage
1 : 2 FT
Oddevold
Win 18%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 58%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy Como or draw 82%
Hellas Verona
1 : 1 FT
Como
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%
#19 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV or draw 82%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3 : 2 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 18%
Draw 22%
Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#20 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 82%
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1 FT
Almere City FC
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 18 May 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SV Darmstadt 98 vs SSV Jahn Regensburg (SV Darmstadt 98 or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.