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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Thursday 15 May 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Six fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 15 May 2025. The strongest reading belongs to BSC Young Boys vs FC Luzern (BSC Young Boys or draw) at 83% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the double chance market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 83%
BSC Young Boys
2 : 1 FT
FC Luzern
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF or draw 82%
IFK Varnamo
2 : 2 FT
Malmo FF
Win 18%
Draw 24%
Win 58%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC or draw 81%
Al-Raed
1 : 3 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 19%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 78%
Espanyol
0 : 2 FT
Barcelona
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 54%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IFK Goteborg or draw 78%
IFK Goteborg
0 : 1 FT
Osters IF
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw 75%
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3 : 1 FT
Al Wehda Club
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 6 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Thursday 15 May 2025?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by BSC Young Boys vs FC Luzern (BSC Young Boys or draw) at 83% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.