Sign in Register
🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 5 April 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Friday 5 April 2024. Cracovia Krakow vs ŁKS Łódź (Cracovia Krakow or draw) sits top on 91% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 79%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Cracovia Krakow or draw 91%
Cracovia Krakow
2 : 2 FT
ŁKS Łódź
Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium KV Mechelen or draw 87%
KV Mechelen
2 : 3 FT
St. Truiden
Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 86%
Damac
0 : 1 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 14%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 69%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France Lille or draw 82%
Lille
3 : 1 FT
Marseille
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 82%
Al Khaleej Saihat
1 : 4 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 18%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shelbourne or draw 81%
Drogheda United
2 : 2 FT
Shelbourne
Win 19%
Draw 28%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Telstar or draw 81%
Telstar
3 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 80%
Dordrecht
2 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Super League Β· China Shanghai Shenhua or draw 79%
Changchun Yatai
1 : 2 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 21%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 54%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
#10 Super League Β· China Henan Jianye or draw 78%
Henan Jianye
0 : 2 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Austria SCR Altach or draw 77%
SCR Altach
0 : 0 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#12 Premier Division Β· Ireland Bohemians or draw 77%
Bohemians
0 : 1 FT
Waterford
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany Eintracht Frankfurt or draw 77%
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#14 Premier Division Β· Ireland Derry City or draw 76%
Derry City
4 : 1 FT
Dundalk
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 14 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 5 April 2024?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cracovia Krakow vs ŁKS Łódź (Cracovia Krakow or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.