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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 31 March 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 31 March 2024. Twente vs Heracles (Twente or draw) sits top on 89% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 77%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 89%
Twente
1 : 0 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfB Stuttgart or draw 88%
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 3 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Muangthong United or draw 88%
Muangthong United
3 : 1 FT
Police Tero
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United or draw 87%
Buriram United
2 : 1 FT
Chiangrai United
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain Girona or draw 86%
Girona
3 : 2 FT
Real Betis
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#6 Premier League Β· England Liverpool or draw 86%
Liverpool
2 : 1 FT
Brighton
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 85%
Real Madrid
2 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 83%
Feyenoord
4 : 2 FT
Utrecht
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax or draw 82%
PEC Zwolle
1 : 3 FT
Ajax
Win 18%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Bangkok United or draw 81%
Bangkok United
6 : 0 FT
Chonburi FC
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
#11 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Gwangju FC or draw 81%
Gwangju FC
1 : 2 FT
Daegu FC
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfL Bochum or draw 81%
VfL Bochum
2 : 2 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Hradec Králové or draw 79%
Hradec Králové
2 : 1 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#14 Superettan Β· Sweden Landskrona BoIS or draw 79%
Landskrona BoIS
4 : 0 FT
Sandviken
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Oostende or draw 79%
Seraing United
1 : 1 FT
Oostende
Win 21%
Draw 21%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#16 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Khon Kaen United or draw 79%
Khon Kaen United
2 : 1 FT
Nakhon Pathom
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#17 Premier League Β· Ukraine Zorya Luhansk or draw 78%
Zorya Luhansk
2 : 1 FT
FC Kharkiv
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#18 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Mlada Boleslav or draw 78%
Mlada Boleslav
3 : 2 FT
Zlin
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium St. Truiden or draw 78%
St. Truiden
2 : 0 FT
KVC Westerlo
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes or draw 77%
Strasbourg
2 : 0 FT
Rennes
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 31 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Twente vs Heracles (Twente or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.