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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 17 February 2024

Wed 14 Thu 15 Fri 16 Sat 17 Sun 18 Mon 19 Tue 20

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 17 February 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Atalanta vs Sassuolo (Atalanta or draw) at 91% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 81%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Italy Atalanta or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 58%

Ligue 1 · France Lille or draw 90%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Genk or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Premier League · England Arsenal or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 55%

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 88%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ FC Porto Clean Sheet 59%

Super League 1 · Greece Panathinaikos or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Ligue 1 · France Paris Saint Germain or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium OH Leuven or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%

League One · England Peterborough or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#10

Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 85%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%

#11

Bundesliga · Austria Austria Vienna or draw 84%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 59%

#12

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Antwerp or draw 83%

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%

#13

League Two · England Bradford or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#14

Championship · England Coventry or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#15

League One · England Bolton or draw 82%

#16

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic FK Jablonec or draw 82%

#17

Bundesliga · Germany RB Leipzig or draw 82%

RB Leipzig

2 : 0 FT

Borussia Mönchengladbach

✓ Win 61%

Draw 21%

Win 18%

Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 67%

#18

League Two · England Wrexham or draw 82%

Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 73%

#19

Bundesliga · Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 81%

#20

La Liga · Spain Valencia or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 17 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Atalanta vs Sassuolo (Atalanta or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.