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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 11 February 2024

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 11 February 2024. FC Volendam vs PSV Eindhoven (PSV Eindhoven or draw) sits top on 96% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 79%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 96%

✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS No 56% PSV Eindhoven Clean Sheet 54%

Bundesliga · Germany VfB Stuttgart or draw 89%

Serie A · Italy Fiorentina or draw 89%

La Liga · Spain Barcelona or draw 88%

Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 68%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 58%

Süper Lig · Turkey Sivasspor or draw 86%

2. Bundesliga · Germany SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#10

Eredivisie · Netherlands Utrecht or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%

#11

Serie A · Italy Bologna or draw 84%

Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#12

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 82%

Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%

#13

Challenger Pro League · Belgium Beerschot VA or draw 81%

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%

#14

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Groningen or draw 81%

Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#15

Ligue 1 · France Nice or draw 81%

#16

2. Bundesliga · Germany Holstein Kiel or draw 80%

Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 71%

#17

Ligue 1 · France Stade Brestois 29 or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%

#18

Serie B · Italy Ternana or draw 80%

Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#19

Super League 1 · Greece PAOK or draw 80%

Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#20

Bundesliga · Germany 1899 Hoffenheim or draw 79%

Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 11 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Volendam vs PSV Eindhoven (PSV Eindhoven or draw) at 96% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.