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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 13 February 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 13 February 2024. Leicester vs Sheffield Wednesday (Leicester or draw) led the list at 94% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the double chance market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England Leicester or draw 94%
Leicester
2 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Leicester Clean Sheet 60%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Ratchaburi or draw 84%
Ratchaburi
1 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal GIL Vicente or draw 83%
GIL Vicente
0 : 1 FT
Vizela
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#4 Championship Β· England West Brom or draw 79%
West Brom
2 : 0 FT
Cardiff
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#5 League Two Β· England Barrow or draw 79%
Barrow
1 : 2 FT
Forest Green
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 54%
#6 League One Β· England Barnsley or draw 78%
Shrewsbury
1 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 22%
Draw 24%
Win 55%
#7 League One Β· England Derby or draw 78%
Exeter City
0 : 3 FT
Derby
Win 22%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 45%
Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 70% ✓ Derby Clean Sheet 54%
#8 League Two Β· England Newport County or draw 78%
Newport County
1 : 3 FT
Notts County
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#9 League Two Β· England Stockport County or draw 78%
Stockport County
1 : 3 FT
Crewe
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#10 League Two Β· England Tranmere or draw 76%
Tranmere
2 : 3 FT
Morecambe
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 10 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 13 February 2024?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Leicester vs Sheffield Wednesday (Leicester or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.