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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 3 February 2024

Wed 31 Thu 1 Fri 2 Sat 3 Sun 4 Mon 5 Tue 6

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 3 February 2024. SV Darmstadt 98 vs Bayer Leverkusen (Bayer Leverkusen or draw) led the list at 90% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 80%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 90%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 90%

Bayern München

3 : 1 FT

Borussia Mönchengladbach

✓ Win 74%

Draw 16%

Win 10%

✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 88%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ FC Porto Clean Sheet 53%

Premier League · England Newcastle or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Serie A · Italy Bologna or draw 86%

Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%

Championship · England West Brom or draw 85%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Twente or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%

La Liga · Spain Valencia or draw 85%

League One · England Peterborough or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#10

Süper Lig · Turkey Rizespor or draw 84%

#11

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium KVC Westerlo or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%

#12

Süper Lig · Turkey Başakşehir or draw 83%

#13

Ligue 2 · France Saint Etienne or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 64%

#14

2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Nürnberg or draw 83%

#15

Ligue 2 · France Angers or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#16

Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#17

League One · England Oxford United or draw 81%

Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#18

Championship · England Huddersfield or draw 81%

Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#19

Premier League · England Brighton or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#20

Ligue 1 · France Rennes or draw 80%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 3 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SV Darmstadt 98 vs Bayer Leverkusen (Bayer Leverkusen or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.