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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 9 December 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 9 December 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Paris Saint Germain vs Nantes (Paris Saint Germain or draw) at 93% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 82%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · France Paris Saint Germain or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Sharjah FC or draw 91%

Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 90%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium Zulte Waregem or draw 89%

Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 60%

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 87%

Premier League · Russia Zenit or draw 87%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Bangkok United or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 60%

League One · England Charlton or draw 85%

#10

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 85%

Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#11

2. Bundesliga · Germany FC St. Pauli or draw 85%

#12

Thai League 1 · Thailand BG Pathum United or draw 84%

#13

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hamburger SV or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#14

Thai League 1 · Thailand Buriram United or draw 84%

#15

Championship · England Leicester or draw 84%

Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 63%

#16

Premier League · England Brighton or draw 83%

#17

Bundesliga · Austria Lask Linz or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#18

League One · England Blackpool or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%

#19

League One · England Wycombe or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63%

#20

Premier League · England Wolves or draw 82%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 9 December 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Paris Saint Germain vs Nantes (Paris Saint Germain or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.