Sign in Register
🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 10 December 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 10 December 2023. Atletico Madrid vs Almeria (Atletico Madrid or draw) led the list at 92% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 79%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 92%
Atletico Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Estoril or draw 88%
Estoril
4 : 0 FT
Chaves
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Anderlecht or draw 88%
Anderlecht
2 : 2 FT
Standard Liege
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Austria Sturm Graz or draw 86%
Sturm Graz
1 : 0 FT
SCR Altach
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk or draw 85%
AS Eupen
1 : 3 FT
Genk
Win 15%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Jagiellonia or draw 85%
Jagiellonia
4 : 2 FT
Raków Częstochowa
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Legia Warszawa or draw 84%
ŁKS Łódź
1 : 1 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Zurich or draw 82%
FC Zurich
1 : 1 FT
FC Luzern
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Fortuna Sittard or draw 82%
Fortuna Sittard
1 : 0 FT
Waalwijk
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France Lille or draw 82%
Clermont Foot
0 : 0 FT
Lille
Win 18%
Draw 35%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#11 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium SK Beveren or draw 82%
Oostende
0 : 2 FT
SK Beveren
Win 18%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ SK Beveren Clean Sheet 54%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy Monza or draw 82%
Monza
1 : 0 FT
Genoa
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Lamphun Warrior or draw 81%
Lamphun Warrior
2 : 1 FT
Prachuap
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles or draw 81%
GO Ahead Eagles
0 : 2 FT
Utrecht
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France Nice or draw 81%
Nice
2 : 1 FT
Reims
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 35%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#16 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 81%
Plzen
5 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%
#17 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Liège or draw 80%
Liège
1 : 0 FT
Francs Borains
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey İstanbulspor or draw 79%
İstanbulspor
0 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
#19 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 79%
Slavia Praha
2 : 0 FT
Mlada Boleslav
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 66%
#20 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir or draw 79%
Başakşehir
1 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 10 December 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Atletico Madrid vs Almeria (Atletico Madrid or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.