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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 29 September 2023

Tue 26 Wed 27 Thu 28 Fri 29 Sat 30 Sun 1 Mon 2

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 29 September 2023. Derry City vs UCD (Derry City or draw) led the list at 94% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Ireland Derry City or draw 94%

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Derry City Clean Sheet 59%

Super League · China SHANGHAI SIPG or draw 91%

Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Groningen or draw 87%

La Liga · Spain Barcelona or draw 86%

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 55%

Thai League 1 · Thailand BG Pathum United or draw 86%

Championship · England Sunderland or draw 86%

Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 85%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Al-Ittihad FC Clean Sheet 54%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Stal Mielec or draw 85%

#10

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 85%

Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 60%

#11

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al Taawon or draw 84%

#12

Premier Division · Ireland Bohemians or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#13

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Cambuur or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

#14

Super League · China Shandong Luneng or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#15

Ligue 1 · France Strasbourg or draw 80%

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%

#16

2. Bundesliga · Germany SC Paderborn 07 or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

#17

Premier Division · Ireland Dundalk or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

#18

Challenger Pro League · Belgium Deinze or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#19

Premier League · Russia FC Rostov or draw 76%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#20

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 75%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 29 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Derry City vs UCD (Derry City or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.