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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 30 September 2023

Wed 27 Thu 28 Fri 29 Sat 30 Sun 1 Mon 2 Tue 3

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 30 September 2023. The strongest reading belongs to PSV Eindhoven vs FC Volendam (PSV Eindhoven or draw) at 94% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 82%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 94%

✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 94%

✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Ratchaburi or draw 92%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%

Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 58%

Premier League · Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 90%

Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 55%

League One · England Barnsley or draw 90%

Süper Lig · Turkey Trabzonspor or draw 89%

Championship · England Cardiff or draw 88%

Bundesliga · Austria Austria Klagenfurt or draw 88%

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 59%

#10

League One · England Lincoln or draw 87%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Lincoln Clean Sheet 57%

#11

Super League · China Beijing Guoan or draw 87%

#12

Eredivisie · Netherlands Twente or draw 86%

Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 67%

#13

League Two · England Swindon Town or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#14

Thai League 1 · Thailand Port FC or draw 85%

#15

League Two · England Crawley Town or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 66%

#16

Championship · England Watford or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#17

Ligue 1 · France Monaco or draw 83%

#18

Championship · England Hull City or draw 83%

#19

Premier League · England Newcastle or draw 83%

#20

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hannover 96 or draw 82%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 30 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs FC Volendam (PSV Eindhoven or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.