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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Wednesday 27 September 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 19 fixtures on Wednesday 27 September 2023. Olympiakos Piraeus vs Aris Thessalonikis (Olympiakos Piraeus or draw) sits top on 94% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League 1 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 94%

BTTS No 58% Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 56%

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 92%

✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 57%

Super League · Switzerland FC Lugano or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

La Liga · Spain Real Madrid or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Real Madrid Clean Sheet 54%

Super League 1 · Greece PAOK or draw 86%

Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Serie A · Brazil Sao Paulo or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Superettan · Sweden Ostersunds FK or draw 81%

Superettan · Sweden Osters IF or draw 81%

Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#10

Super League 1 · Greece Kifisia or draw 81%

Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

#11

Eredivisie · Netherlands Twente or draw 80%

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%

#12

La Liga · Spain Athletic Club or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#13

Serie A · Italy Napoli or draw 79%

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%

#14

Süper Lig · Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 77%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#15

Superettan · Sweden Skövde AIK or draw 77%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#16

Serie A · Italy AC Milan or draw 77%

#17

La Liga · Spain Valencia or draw 76%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#18

Veikkausliiga · Finland HJK Helsinki or draw 76%

Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#19

Serie B · Italy Parma or draw 76%

Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 64%

Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 27 September 2023?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Olympiakos Piraeus vs Aris Thessalonikis (Olympiakos Piraeus or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.