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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 22 April 2023

Wed 19 Thu 20 Fri 21 Sat 22 Sun 23 Mon 24 Tue 25

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 22 April 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest (Liverpool or draw) at 96% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 83%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · England Liverpool or draw 96%

✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS No 63% Liverpool Clean Sheet 61%

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Vitesse or draw 93%

✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Vitesse Clean Sheet 56%

Championship · England Burnley or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%

League One · England Charlton or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%

League One · England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 91%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 66%

League One · England Portsmouth or draw 88%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Portsmouth Clean Sheet 56%

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 87%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#10

League Two · England Leyton Orient or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#11

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 59%

#12

League One · England Barnsley or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#13

League One · England Plymouth or draw 85%

Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%

#14

Super League · China SHANGHAI SIPG or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#15

Primeira Liga · Portugal Famalicao or draw 84%

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 66% Famalicao Clean Sheet 55%

#16

League Two · England Stockport County or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 62%

#17

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sigma Olomouc or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#18

League One · England Cheltenham or draw 84%

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 66% Cheltenham Clean Sheet 54%

#19

Premier Division · Ireland Sligo Rovers or draw 84%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%

#20

Championship · England Bristol City or draw 83%

Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 68% Bristol City Clean Sheet 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 22 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest (Liverpool or draw) at 96% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.