Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 21 April 2023
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Friday 21 April 2023. Shandong Luneng vs Nantong Zhiyun (Shandong Luneng or draw) sits top on 89% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the double chance market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Super League · China
Shandong Luneng or draw
89%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda or draw
87%
Premier League · England
Arsenal or draw
87%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain or draw
85%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II or draw
82%
Super League · China
Henan Jianye or draw
81%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam or draw
80%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock or draw
78%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians or draw
78%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City or draw
77%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne or draw
77%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98 or draw
76%
Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
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UK Football Predictions
Spanish Football Predictions
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German Football Predictions
French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 21 April 2023?
twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Shandong Luneng vs Nantong Zhiyun (Shandong Luneng or draw) at 89% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.