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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 23 April 2023

Thu 20 Fri 21 Sat 22 Sun 23 Mon 24 Tue 25 Wed 26

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 23 April 2023. Adana Demirspor vs Kayserispor (Adana Demirspor or draw) sits top on 94% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 79%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Jupiler Pro League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 94%

✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Gent or draw 91%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 90%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Allsvenskan · Sweden Kalmar FF or draw 88%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 88%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Muangthong United or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Eliteserien · Norway Rosenborg or draw 85%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Anderlecht or draw 85%

#10

Bundesliga · Germany SC Freiburg or draw 85%

Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#11

Ekstraklasa · Poland Piast Gliwice or draw 84%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 61%

#12

Ligue 1 · France Stade Brestois 29 or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 62%

#13

Super League 1 · Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 81%

#14

2. Bundesliga · Germany SC Paderborn 07 or draw 81%

#15

Eliteserien · Norway Ham-Kam or draw 81%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 59%

#16

Veikkausliiga · Finland HJK Helsinki or draw 81%

#17

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Sharjah FC or draw 80%

#18

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%

#19

Serie A · Italy AC Milan or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#20

Primera División · Chile Magallanes or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 23 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Adana Demirspor vs Kayserispor (Adana Demirspor or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.