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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 12 March 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 12 March 2023. Zenit vs Khimki (Zenit or draw) sits top on 93% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 80%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Russia Zenit or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 57%

Super League 1 · Greece OFI or draw 90%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 61% OFI Clean Sheet 56%

Serie B · Italy Genoa or draw 89%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Genoa Clean Sheet 60%

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 89%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 60% PSV Eindhoven Clean Sheet 54%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 54%

Premier League · England Manchester United or draw 88%

Premier League · Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 87%

Super League 1 · Greece PAOK or draw 87%

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%

#10

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

#11

La Liga · Spain Sevilla or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#12

Super League 1 · Greece Aris Thessalonikis or draw 86%

#13

Bundesliga · Germany SC Freiburg or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#14

Serie A · Italy Juventus or draw 85%

#15

Challenger Pro League · Belgium RWDM or draw 81%

#16

Ligue 1 · France Nice or draw 81%

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%

#17

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 81%

Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#18

Serie A · Italy AS Roma or draw 81%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 60%

#19

Super League 1 · Greece Panetolikos or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 64%

#20

Thai League 1 · Thailand Khon Kaen United or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

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Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 12 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Zenit vs Khimki (Zenit or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.