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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 10 March 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

16 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 10 March 2023. The strongest reading belongs to 1. FC Köln vs VfL Bochum (1. FC Köln or draw) at 94% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the double chance market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Köln or draw 94%
1. FC Köln
0 : 2 FT
VfL Bochum
Win 79%
Draw 16%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 68%
#2 Premier League · Russia FC Sochi or draw 91%
FC Sochi
0 : 4 FT
FC Orenburg
Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 91%
FC Porto
3 : 2 FT
Estoril
✓ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
BTTS No 62% FC Porto Clean Sheet 56%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Heracles or draw 90%
Heracles
2 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
✓ Win 79%
Draw 11%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 87% BTTS Yes 72%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands VVV Venlo or draw 89%
VVV Venlo
4 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
✓ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands NAC Breda or draw 85%
NAC Breda
4 : 1 FT
MVV
✓ Win 69%
Draw 16%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#7 Ekstraklasa · Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 83%
Raków Częstochowa
4 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
✓ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 63%
#8 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Al-Ittihad Kalba or draw 81%
Dibba Al-Fujairah
2 : 2 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 19%
Draw 27%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 61%
#9 League Two · England Salford City or draw 81%
Crewe
4 : 3 FT
Salford City
Win 19%
Draw 25%
Win 56%
#10 Premier Division · Ireland Derry City or draw 80%
Derry City
0 : 0 FT
Dundalk
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Premier Division · Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 78%
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 2 FT
Bohemians
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 Thai League 1 · Thailand Sukhothai FC or draw 77%
Sukhothai FC
2 : 3 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#13 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Charleroi or draw 76%
Charleroi
0 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#14 2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Nürnberg or draw 76%
1. FC Nürnberg
2 : 0 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
✓ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#15 La Liga · Spain Cadiz or draw 76%
Cadiz
2 : 2 FT
Getafe
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#16 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Khorfakkan or draw 75%
Khorfakkan
2 : 2 FT
Ajman
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 16 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 10 March 2023?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by 1. FC Köln vs VfL Bochum (1. FC Köln or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.