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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 11 March 2023

Wed 8 Thu 9 Fri 10 Sat 11 Sun 12 Mon 13 Tue 14

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 11 March 2023. Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest (Tottenham or draw) led the list at 93% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · England Tottenham or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 63% Tottenham Clean Sheet 58%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 92%

✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 91%

Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 61%

Bundesliga · Germany Eintracht Frankfurt or draw 90%

Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Championship · England Burnley or draw 89%

Championship · England West Brom or draw 88%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ West Brom Clean Sheet 56%

League One · England Shrewsbury or draw 88%

2. Bundesliga · Germany FC St. Pauli or draw 87%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 60%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Emmen or draw 87%

✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#10

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 62%

#11

Bundesliga · Germany RB Leipzig or draw 87%

RB Leipzig

3 : 0 FT

Borussia Mönchengladbach

✓ Win 66%

Draw 21%

Win 13%

✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 62%

#12

Premier League · Russia Spartak Moscow or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#13

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 86%

#14

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#15

La Liga · Spain Real Madrid or draw 83%

#16

League One · England Charlton or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%

#17

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#18

Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray or draw 82%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%

#19

Thai League 1 · Thailand Muangthong United or draw 82%

Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 70%

#20

2. Bundesliga · Germany SV Darmstadt 98 or draw 81%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 11 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest (Tottenham or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.