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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 4 March 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 4 March 2023. Sparta Praha vs Teplice (Sparta Praha or draw) led the list at 95% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 83%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 95%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al Shabab or draw 95%

✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS No 62% Al Shabab Clean Sheet 59%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 94%

Premier League · England Arsenal or draw 90%

Championship · England Middlesbrough or draw 90%

✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Middlesbrough Clean Sheet 54%

Süper Lig · Turkey Trabzonspor or draw 89%

La Liga · Spain Mallorca or draw 89%

Ligue 2 · France Le Havre or draw 89%

Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 69% Le Havre Clean Sheet 61%

Ligue 2 · France Quevilly or draw 89%

✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 60% Quevilly Clean Sheet 53%

#10

Eredivisie · Netherlands Twente or draw 88%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 64% Twente Clean Sheet 56%

#11

Bundesliga · Germany Union Berlin or draw 87%

#12

League One · England Ipswich or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 57%

#13

Bundesliga · Germany FSV Mainz 05 or draw 86%

Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 68%

#14

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hamburger SV or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%

#15

League Two · England Stockport County or draw 85%

#16

Super League 1 · Greece Asteras Tripolis or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%

#17

Bundesliga · Germany VfL Bochum or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#18

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw 83%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 70%

#19

Premier League · Russia Zenit or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%

#20

League One · England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 83%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 4 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sparta Praha vs Teplice (Sparta Praha or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.