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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 29 January 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 29 January 2023. Slavia Praha vs FK Jablonec (Slavia Praha or draw) led the list at 92% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 78%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 92%
Slavia Praha
5 : 1 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 90%
BSC Young Boys
5 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 89%
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 31%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ AEK Athens FC Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium SK Beveren or draw 89%
Standard Liège II
2 : 2 FT
SK Beveren
Win 11%
Draw 15%
Win 73%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy Juventus or draw 88%
Juventus
0 : 2 FT
Monza
Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 63%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk or draw 87%
Genk
4 : 0 FT
Seraing United
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan or draw 85%
AC Milan
2 : 5 FT
Sassuolo
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovan Liberec or draw 84%
Slovan Liberec
1 : 1 FT
Pardubice
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Legia Warszawa or draw 82%
Legia Warszawa
3 : 2 FT
Korona Kielce
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Ratchaburi or draw 82%
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 1 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 18%
Draw 25%
Win 57%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy Lazio or draw 81%
Lazio
1 : 1 FT
Fiorentina
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 81%
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 : 1 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 35%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Vizela or draw 81%
Vizela
3 : 1 FT
Rio Ave
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 66%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Fortuna Sittard or draw 80%
Cambuur
1 : 2 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 20%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 80%
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 1 FT
Reims
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%
#16 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV or draw 79%
Hamburger SV
4 : 2 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Famalicao or draw 78%
Famalicao
1 : 0 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#18 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Mlada Boleslav or draw 78%
Mlada Boleslav
0 : 0 FT
Zbrojovka Brno
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%
#19 Ligue 1 Β· France Lyon or draw 78%
Ajaccio
0 : 2 FT
Lyon
Win 22%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 50%
#20 Primera División Β· Chile A. Italiano or draw 78%
A. Italiano
3 : 0 FT
Deportes Copiapo
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 29 January 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Slavia Praha vs FK Jablonec (Slavia Praha or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.